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Iran attacks US bases in the Gulf but leaves Israel aside

Iran has launched attacks on nearly all US-aligned countries in the Gulf and parts of the Middle East. Tehran has said the move is a response to what it calls US aggression against it.

However, what surprises many analysts is that, despite Iran's previous warning that "if the US continues to attack it, it will attack Israel directly," this statement has not been implemented so far. Meanwhile, the US continues to carry out attacks inside Iran.

According to military sources, Iran has targeted US facilities and interests in the Gulf countries. The aim was to demonstrate that Tehran has the ability to reach US forces surrounding its border.

Iran's foreign minister called the strikes a "proportionate response" to US actions. He said Iran has no intention of starting a full-scale war, but will not remain silent if it continues to be attacked.

Last month, senior Iranian leaders issued a stark warning. They made it clear that if the US escalates its attacks, the next step would be to attack Israel directly.

The statement sparked widespread panic in the Middle East. But to date, no Iranian missiles or warplanes have been directly aimed at Israel.

Instead, Iran has chosen to target only American facilities. This has led many to wonder: Is Iran afraid of Israel? Or are there other strategic reasons?

Defense and international political analysts have a different view. They say that not directly attacking Israel does not mean that Iran is afraid of Israel.

One Dubai-based defense analyst said: "No. It's not a matter of fear. It's a matter of calculation. Iran knows full well that if it attacks Israel directly, it will be opening a war on two fronts. The United States and Israel together."

He added that Iran currently sees itself as incapable of withstanding a joint attack from the United States and Israel at the same time. Remember, the United States has missile defense systems in Israel, and it has large forces in the Gulf.

"Iran's strategy right now is to limit losses. Attack the United States, but not give the United States and Israel an excuse to unite and attack Tehran with full force," the analyst said.

Some analysts believe Iran is using proxies in the region to indirectly attack Israel. This gives Iran political "defensive leverage."

On the other hand, the US shows no signs of slowing down. Military sources say attacks on Iranian targets are continuing.

Experts say the United States is trying to get its adversary to tire of it and sit down at the negotiating table, without dragging Israel directly into the conflict.

For now, the conflict seems to have two rules. Iran is attacking the United States, but is avoiding Israel. 

The United States is attacking Iran, but has yet to see a direct response from its major ally in the region. Is this just a temporary lull before a major explosion? Or is it the beginning of a long-term economic and diplomatic war?

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